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Forecasting and simulation KSU01041
Course content:
Basics of the theory of forecasting. The role of forecasting in business production company. The collection of business information, its analysis and formulation of conclusions. Prognostic data, recording and verification. Classification of predictions. Different methods of forecasting, their advantages and disadvantages. The process of building forecasts using different methods. Simple and advanced models in the forecasting process. Measures of admissibility formulated predictions. Evaluation of forecasting accuracy. Forecasting based on time series.
Learning outcomes:
Gaining knowledge necessary to formulate independently theoretical assumptions and processing information and solving the tasks of predictive forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods used in business production practice.
(in Polish) E-learning
(in Polish) Rodzaj przedmiotu
Course coordinators
Term 2011L: | Term 2010L: | Term 2013L: | Term 2009L: | Term 2015L: | Term 2023L: | Term 2017L: | Term 2010Z: | Term 2020L: | Term 2012L: | Term 2019L: | Term 2021L: | Term 2022L: | Term 2018L: | Term 2014L: | Term 2016L: |
Bibliography
a) basic references:
1. Cieślak M. (red.), Economic Forecasting. Methods and application, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa, 2005.
2. Dittmann P. (i in.), Forecasting in business management, Wolters Kluwer, Kraków, 2009
3. Nazarko J. (red.), Forecasting in business management. Part I-III. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Białostockiej, Białystok 2004, 2005.
b) supplementary references:
1. Dittmann P., Methods for sales forecasting in the enterprise, Wydawnictwo Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wrocławiu, Wrocław, 2000.
2. Radzikowska B. (red), Forecasting methods. Set of problems, Wydawnictwo Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wrocławiu, Wrocław, 2000.
3. Zeliaś A., Pawełek B., Wanat S., Economic forecasting. Theory. Examples. Problems, Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa, 2003.