Winter Semester 2009/10
Winter Semester 2010/11
Technology Foresight LS03231
Syllabus: Introduction to the study of the future. Method constructing the future. Forecasting in technology. The idea of foresight. Conditions for the application of foresight. History of the foresight process. Types and categories of foresight. The essence of technology foresight. Foresight vs. strategic planning. Foresight vs. forecasting. Technology foresight and the management of technology. The methods used in foresight projects: quantitative methods, qualitative methods (brainstorming, STEEPV, SWOT analysis, Delphi method, the method of key technologies, scenarios - both formal and informal techniques, weak signals, wild cards, technology roadmapping). Organization and carrying out foresight exercises. Experience in conducting foresight projects in Poland and all the world.
(in Polish) Rodzaj przedmiotu
Course coordinators
Learning outcomes
student: it indicates the essence of the most vital aspects and foresight technology, discusses the evolution and typology of foresight (in relation to the experience of Polish and foreign), presents its elements, has the ability in the field of design methodology foresight research initiatives and specific application
foresight methods selected, correctly interprets the role of foresight in the process of logistics management, strategic planning, forecasting, preparing miniprojekt under which elaborates the vision of a selected area of research and development in the field of logistics
Assessment criteria
Lecture:
written test - scoring. There is the possibility of increasing the assessment by discussing the lectures
Final rating depends on the% of all possible points:
91-100: 5.0
81-90: 4.5
71-80: 4.0
61-70: 3.5
51-60: 3.0
0 -50: 2.0
Classes:
Evaluation criteria: assessment of the work in class (0-6 points), evaluation of the presentation (miniprojects) of group work (0-30 points)
Final rating depends on the% of all possible points (36)
91-100: 5.0
81-90: 4.5
71-80: 4.0
61-70: 3.5
51-60: 3.0
0 -50: 2.0
Students whose total score of miniprojects not exceed 50% must to write correction test, the maximum score to obtain is "3"
Bibliography
1. Nazarko J. (red.), Ejdys J. (red.), Metodologia i procedury badawcze w projekcie Foresight technologiczny <
UNIDO (red.), Wyd. Polska Agencja Rozwoju Przedsiębiorczości, Warszawa, 2008; 3. Foresight Technologiczny , podręcznik, Tom 2, Foresight technologiczny w praktyce, UNIDO (red.), Wyd.
Polska Agencja Rozwoju Przedsiębiorczości, Warszawa, 2008; 4. Borodako K., Foresight w zarządzaniu strategicznym, Wydawnictwo C.H. Beck, Warszawa, 2009; 5. L. Fahey, R. M. Randall (eds.), Learning from the future: competitive foresight scenarios , Wiley J., New York, 1998.
Additional information
Information on level of this course, year of study and semester when the course unit is delivered, types and amount of class hours - can be found in course structure diagrams of apropriate study programmes. This course is related to the following study programmes: