Summer Semester 2010/11
Winter Semester 2010/11
Economic forecasting LN05269
Course content: Introduction to the methodology of forecasting. The role of forecasts in economic activity. Methods of gathering and processing of economic data. Types of forecasts and forecasting methods. Measuring the accuracy of forecasts. Forecasting based on time series. The use of adaptive models. The use of trend models. The use of artificial intelligence models. Methods and techniques of computer elaboration of simple and variant forecasts. Experience of forecasting in Poland and abroad.
Learning outcomes: Course effects: skills and competences of the practical application of forecasting methods in management
(in Polish) Rodzaj przedmiotu
Course coordinators
Bibliography
a) basic references:
1. Armstrong J. S., Principles of forecasting: a handbook for researchers and practitioners, Kluwer Academic Publisher, Boston, 2001.
2. Makridakis S., Wheelwright S., Hyndman R. J., Forecasting: methods and applications, John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1998.
b) supplementary references:
1. DeLugio S. A., Forecasting Principles and Applications, Irwin/McGraw-Hill, Boston, 1998.
2. Hanke E., Reitsch A. G., Wicherm D. W., Business Forecasting, Prentice Hall, New Jersey, 2001.
3. Theil H., Applied Economic Forecasting, Rand McNally, Chicago, 1966.